Dicing with Death : Chance, Risk And Health

Dicing with Death : Chance, Risk And Health

是英國統計學家史蒂芬·塞恩(Stephen Senn)於2011年由劍橋大學出版社出版的醫學統計學著作。作者時任倫敦大學學院藥物與健康統計學教授,曾獲佛羅里達大學喬治·C·查利斯生物統計貢獻獎,此前著有《藥物開發中的統計問題》等專業書籍。

全書以機率論為框架,系統探討統計學在醫療決策中的實踐套用,涵蓋臨床藥物試驗設計、疫苗風險評估、吸菸與肺癌因果關係等案例。書中通過統計史人物軼事及經典悖論,解析機率分析對公共衛生資源分配、藥品審批等決策的邏輯支撐,並闡釋機率推理在健康領域的套用邊界與方法論局限。

基本介紹

  • 外文名:Dicing with Death : Chance, Risk And Health 
  • 作者:Stephen Senn
  • 出版社:Cambridge University Press
  • ISBN:9780521540230
內容簡介,圖書目錄,

內容簡介

If you think that statistics has nothing to say about what you do or how you could do it better, then you are either wrong or in need of a more interesting job. Stephen Senn explains here how statistics determines many decisions about medical care--from allocating resources for health, to determining which drugs to license, to cause-and-effect in relation to disease. He tackles big themes: clinical trials and the development of medicines, life tables, vaccines and their risks or lack of them, smoking and lung cancer and even the power of prayer. He entertains with puzzles and paradoxes and covers the lives of famous statistical pioneers. By the end of the book the reader will see how reasoning with probability is essential to making rational decisions in medicine, and how and when it can guide us when faced with choices that impact our health and/or life. Stephen Senn has been a Professor of Pharmaceutical and Health Statistics at the University College of London since 1995. In 2001 he won George C. Challis Award of the University of Florida for contributions to biostatistics. Senn's previous two books are Statistical Issues in Drug Development (Wiley, 1997) and Cross-over Trials in Clinical Research (Wiley, 1993). He is the member of seven editorial boards including Statistics in Medicine and Pharmaceutical Statistics.

圖書目錄

Permissions
Circling the square
The diceman cometh
Trials of life
Of dice and men
Sex and the single patient
A hale view of pills
Time's tables
A dip in the pool
The things that bug us
The law is a ass
The empire of the sum
Notes
Index

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